0xb55e62d40733cae5a4e47b50c0a1bb19265393ac
0xb55e62d40733cae5a4e47b50c0a1bb19265393ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$45.05
Total PnL
$4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$14.31
$4.31
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 17.6¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.16
$1.16
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 42.8¢·now 41.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- NO
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.61
$-0.39
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$3.11Jul 15, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?$10.31Jul 14, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$3.16Jul 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$3.16Jul 14, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$2.11Jul 14, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.34Jul 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.11Jul 14, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?$0.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.48Jul 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.42Jul 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?$3.16Jul 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$2.11Jul 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.46Jul 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.52Jul 11, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.