Mysterious-Dogsled
0xb56b578cbac1157124fe358c3ca7b1495f0778c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.11
Total PnL
$-191.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$-3.57
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
37 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.68
$-6.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?
1285 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-95.93
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
347 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.96
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
229 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$12.47Apr 24, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$12.46Apr 22, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$13.85Apr 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$13.87Apr 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?$99.62Apr 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$11.89Jan 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?$10.00Jan 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$2.75Jan 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$59.96Jan 16, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$4.88Jan 15, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$10.00Jan 15, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.