Wallet digest

active

Activity score

75/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$484.16

Total PnL

$-223.72

Realised

$-55.01

Win rate

57%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$99.45
$7.45
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
50 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026
$50.00
$4.25
NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
50 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$50.00
$3.80
NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026
$50.00
$4.00
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$49.52
$4.02
NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$46.67
$0.87
NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$44.98
$-1.42
NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 91.1¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$44.22
$-1.33
NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$33.29
$2.74
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$16.02
$1.44

Recent activity

YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$48.00May 29, 08:16 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity59 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk56 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 14
Avg trade size: $23.33
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 13, 00:06 UTC
Last active: Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 03:14:05 UTC·src:Polymarket Data