Potable-Cope
0xb576c785282feb0ab1f157561614eae88de49d01
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.61
Total PnL
$-4.66
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.49
$0.27
- NO
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.07
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will The Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$99.78Jun 1, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$49.93Jun 1, 05:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$100.01May 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$50.01May 28, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$140.14Mar 30, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$119.88Mar 30, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 29, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$140.00Mar 27, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$120.00Mar 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 3, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026?$2.00Jan 26, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit $365 before 2026??$1.02Jan 26, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $26.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.