Ruddy-Subconscious
0xb5903533e22cbdc5978218bf5228fad18ecd7375
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.66
Realised
$-4.67
Win rate
0%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
2088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
23 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?
18 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 4?
17 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?
15 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
12 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Aug 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.04Aug 10, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.02Aug 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.00Aug 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.04Aug 7, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.08Aug 3, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.06Aug 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.44Jul 31, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.08Jul 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$3.09Jul 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.07Jul 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.05Jul 22, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.50Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.03Jul 22, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.90Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$4.12Jul 19, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?$4.55Jul 15, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
44 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.