Insistent-Access
0xb59c61f1b4e2cabd6914307aef029258ed1f1565
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-2.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.77
$-0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.60
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?$1.60Aug 19, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$44.66Aug 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$44.30Aug 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$1.80Aug 15, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$46.22Aug 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?$0.19Aug 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?$0.02Aug 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$45.90Aug 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$45.91Aug 14, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$45.61Aug 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?$1.70Aug 10, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$2.00Aug 8, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$49.35Aug 5, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$49.21Aug 5, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.90Aug 1, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?$1.21Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.70Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$1.51Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$1.10Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.30Jul 31, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.