High-Bow
0xb5aa9120ee3313e44d5e6a4895b8f7118cda5bd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$18.9K
Total PnL
$-12.7K
Realised
$-881.11
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
11681 shares @ 58.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.6K
$-215.07
- YES
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4044 shares @ 68.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.6K
$-124.10
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7035 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$276.60
- YES
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.3K
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18033 shares @ 7.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$-355.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9173 shares @ 15.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$967.73
$-449.26
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1043 shares @ 67.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$850.01
$150.01
- YES
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1340 shares @ 64.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$797.16
$-70.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1100 shares @ 71.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$786.51
$-2.50
- YES
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1543 shares @ 52.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$732.72
$-74.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.6KJun 28, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.1KJun 28, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.90Jun 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120.04Jun 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 28, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.60Jun 28, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.60Jun 28, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.54Jun 28, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJun 28, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$517.50Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.50Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $216.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.