Embellished-Integer
0xb5be8d9aeae70bfa3ed900c43a5c5f9b897d7286
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-509.05
Realised
$209.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
2000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$650.00
$390.00
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
1470 shares @ 6.3¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$265.34
$172.73
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$70.00
$-50.00
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
2000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$31.00
$-21.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
15000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-93.25
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1700 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.70
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
1500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$306.13Jul 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$11.81Jul 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.40Jul 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.14Jul 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.33Jul 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.19Jul 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$5.20Jul 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$3.90Jul 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.18Jul 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$0.52Jul 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$5.20Jul 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$1.06Jul 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$5.20Jul 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$5.20Jul 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$1.70Jul 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$2.70Jul 13, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$32.80Jul 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$8.27Jul 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$0.32Jul 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$155.89Jul 13, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $25.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.