Some-Abbreviation
0xb5cd05198c65020755910667e149c0c1be1759d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
3301 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
2227 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2113 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
16 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?$4.97Jul 19, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.00Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.10Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.83May 23, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$5.00May 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$2.10May 14, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$2.85May 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.08May 14, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMSaint-Malo: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lilli Tagger$5.00May 8, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83Apr 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint-Malo: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lilli Tagger$4.50Apr 27, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$4.99Apr 27, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.35Apr 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.35Apr 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.89Apr 20, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.26Apr 20, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.20Apr 20, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.35Apr 20, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Apr 20, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $304.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.