Notable-Genetics
0xb5f63ec05984aaa95036c0fccdddd802db9dadc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$6.94
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2500 shares @ 91.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.4K
$64.34
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
2000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$2.0K
$361.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1597 shares @ 86.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.3K
$-47.05
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3500 shares @ 47.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$647.50
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
710 shares @ 42.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$223.62
$-78.48
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
183 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$176.11
$8.04
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
448 shares @ 43.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$154.51
$-39.61
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
3333 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$104.99
$-5.00
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
3174 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$42.85
$-81.61
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
9988 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$34.96
$-29.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$86.97Jul 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$36.00Jul 12, 21:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.86Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$552.06Jul 8, 07:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.39Jul 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jul 7, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$493.69Jul 7, 17:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.85Jul 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.37Jul 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$288.33Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$16.07Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$682.47Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$5.59Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$15.00Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $133.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.