Tedious-Quote
0xb5f76b17c91cd22cf170390f7fc8fa6b68d176cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$26.40
Total PnL
$-121.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.00Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03Jun 19, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.16Jun 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$2.0KMay 25, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$2.0KMay 25, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $330.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.