Hasty-Pillar
0xb639a115efa1b986cde6132ffb1cde78bc7e18da
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
2218 shares @ 67.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.2K
$717.85
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1429 shares @ 35.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.14
$-292.86
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
4951 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1786 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
914 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$500.00Apr 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.5KApr 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1000.00Apr 7, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$500.00Apr 6, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.6KApr 5, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$250.00Apr 5, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$500.00Apr 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1000.00Apr 2, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1000.00Mar 27, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1000.00Mar 27, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$161.62Jan 31, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$500.00Jan 31, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$500.00Jan 31, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $768.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.