Revolving-Talking
0xb6644a21bea104c3a804ffe373d21fae41798669
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$-719.76
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
99961 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-257.70
- YES
Will a Republican win Colorado Presidential Election?
36952 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
32200 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Will a Republican win Washington Presidential Election?
18211 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-390.10
- NO
Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election?
10959 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-202.87
- YES
Will 7 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
3742 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-55.81
- NO
Will a Democrat win Oregon Presidential Election?
1686 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-47.80
- YES
Will 6 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
561 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-58.69
- NO
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
436 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.07
- RAMS
Rams vs. Seahawks
100 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$64.70Jul 19, 04:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$90.60Jul 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$64.68Jul 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$16.68Jul 18, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$325.37Jul 16, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.02Jul 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$188.51Jul 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.03Jul 9, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $77.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.