0xb6715a5fd24eced86fe37ac52e72fd2a63b656c8
0xb6715a5fd24eced86fe37ac52e72fd2a63b656c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.83
Total PnL
$-72.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$14.36
$4.45
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?
23 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.90
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
22 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
17 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
13 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.92
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.06May 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$13.16May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$10.00Apr 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$10.00Apr 26, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?$6.70Apr 26, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?$16.47Apr 26, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?$25.11Apr 26, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?$10.00Apr 24, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?$10.00Apr 24, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?$5.00Apr 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?$5.00Apr 20, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$9.13Apr 20, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$28.31Apr 20, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?$5.00Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?$5.00Apr 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$20.00Apr 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$10.58Apr 15, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$22.09Apr 15, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$4.50Apr 11, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.