Neglected-Legacy
0xb67913f27ada5957e171407a9ee7813ba478bd5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$49.05
Total PnL
$-491.00
Realised
$1.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 92.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.98
$0.57
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2026$2.08
$0.16
- YES
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?
819 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.27
- YES
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?
210 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-54.74
- NO
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
188 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.88
- NO
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
68 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- NO
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$100.00Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$1.15Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$50.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$50.00Jul 20, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?$50.00Jul 20, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$50.00Jul 19, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$100.00Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$3.07Jul 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$18.45Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$21.52Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?$100.00Jul 16, 06:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.69Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$50.00Jul 13, 21:31 UTC
- REWARD$0.48Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.89Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$17.53Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$10.57Jul 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$40.23Jul 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$23.92Jul 10, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.