Knowing-Jumpsuit
0xb6a7e256c1d3849c51deefaf0b5a5d5aac4003d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$706.83
Total PnL
$-78.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
418 shares @ 23.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.07
$40.07
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$116.35
$16.35
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.29
$10.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360 shares @ 13.9¢·now 21.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.24
$28.24
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
420 shares @ 11.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.86
$22.86
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
2798 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$59.88
$-40.11
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$51.62
$1.67
- YES
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
425 shares @ 11.8¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$37.83
$-12.17
- YES
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
892 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$27.19
$-8.54
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.50
$-87.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?$49.95Jul 7, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?$5.74Jun 30, 23:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $66.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.