Defenseless-Cultivator
0xb6a81abfab50dae7f7d584cf29e33810d41cb1f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$447.99
Win rate
74%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
3349 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.72
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
2287 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-925.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
1425 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
1078 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
1038 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
923 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-139.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
847 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- CASPER RUUD
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud
837 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-125.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$23.78Jul 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$97.48Jul 9, 21:31 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.55Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 1+ assists$22.13Jul 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$3.09Jul 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$10.27Jul 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$10.17Jul 9, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMContrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean$45.45Jul 9, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYContrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean$10.23Jul 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdrien Rabiot: 1+ assists$9.23Jul 9, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 2+ assists$10.27Jul 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$39.78Jul 9, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5$15.25Jul 9, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs$85.01Jul 9, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$9.74Jul 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs$40.64Jul 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs$10.22Jul 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova AND Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff$20.00Jul 9, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5 AND Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova$34.99Jul 9, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $40.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.