Posh-Hoof-Crisis
0xb6b364dcec7b23834a55b1fe19da6ec5ca2bbaf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$82.83
Total PnL
$-29.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
37 shares @ 66.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$37.39
$12.39
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.87
$5.87
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
16 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.54
$0.54
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.67
$-2.33
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
7 shares @ 90.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.36
$0.36
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
453 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$25.58May 15, 16:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$12.82May 10, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.