Strange-Tech
0xb6c941b0d363ba72d2b7183cca273babf1732738
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-610.65
Realised
$19.26
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
6659 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?
6443 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$18.18Jun 22, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$22.49Jun 22, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$29.00Jun 22, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$42.15Jun 22, 04:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $27.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.