Deadly-Shirt
0xb6cc6f64a8616ccef7d552d1bb71401668740f34
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$136.35
Total PnL
$-62.50
Realised
$-47.49
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.53
$0.16
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.47
$0.02
- NO
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.20
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.97
$0.02
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.24
$0.04
- NO
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$5.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.