Real-Agency
0xb6d6363cf694472dbd943c9ccac1c38ff3d1951b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.76
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.48
$0.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$0.00
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.01
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.15
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- HURRICANES
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
4886 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- CAVALIERS
Heat vs. Cavaliers
2526 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- PENGUINS
Wild vs. Penguins
981 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-519.83
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5PM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill David Njoku play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?$1.54Jun 3, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.33Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.54May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.48May 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$1.35May 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.33May 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$1.16May 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.45May 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.11May 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $1.21May 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.54May 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Njoku play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?$1.54May 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.27May 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.83May 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.33May 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.80May 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.18May 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.21May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.70May 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.12May 17, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".