Quixotic-Mayor
0xb6f65a1ea52b6d4861fe48ddea0dbd024e823cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$102.57
Total PnL
$2.11
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.57
$3.35
- YES
Will Venstre win 30+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
53 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?
10 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$99.22Mar 25, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?$15.00Mar 25, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?$9.84Mar 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?$24.60Mar 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?$0.46Mar 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venstre win 30+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.17Mar 23, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venstre win 30+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.95Mar 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$491.55Mar 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$84.67Mar 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$567.37Mar 21, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$567.35Mar 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$256.39Mar 20, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$161.67Mar 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$32.33Mar 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$35.28Mar 20, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?$64.67Mar 20, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Lille OSC (-2.5)$70.00Mar 20, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$480.19Mar 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$269.90Mar 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$204.24Mar 19, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $103.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.