Bumpy-Stonework
0xb708eaadd8e3b1f01c5f3c025e8901bc469162fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$958.87
Total PnL
$-16.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
416 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$402.90
$-2.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
381 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$366.69
$-0.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$98.34
$-1.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.54
$-0.81
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.69
$-0.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10PM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$405.91Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$368.00Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$14.77Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$28.95Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.90Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.24Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.22Jun 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$20.11Jun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$17.25Jun 9, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$30.40Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$27.00Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$28.90Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$29.90Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$27.40Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$24.50Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$25.40Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$22.10Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$24.30Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$23.80Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$26.40Jun 9, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $76.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.