Courageous-Duck
0xb714a52a472ccce4c4d372865c26e43ef57ba191
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.86
Total PnL
$-0.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.42
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 51.1¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Radical" or "Left" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hot" or "Hottest" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.444h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hot" or "Hottest" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical" or "Left" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?$1.004h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?$1.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?$1.014d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?$1.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?$1.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".