Fearless-Corridor
0xb71789f0daeb3f1573d5555fe3741d3bc7b21834
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.42
Total PnL
$-69.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.42
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8AM ET
4200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
300 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1AM ET
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6PM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.40Jul 20, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 20, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jul 20, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Guillermo Ochoa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.28Jul 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guillermo Ochoa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.27Jun 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 22, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.05Jun 22, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Jun 22, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.83Jun 22, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.02May 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16May 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20May 30, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 2?$1.12May 30, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$2.23May 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 2?$1.12May 1, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$2.13May 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.32May 1, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.71May 1, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.18May 1, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.12May 1, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $261.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.