OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 7, 2026

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Probability

28¢

-0.5pp

24h

+6.5pp

24h Vol

$1.0K

Liquidity

$4.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-20.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:49

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 283.2h
LOW
04:50Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 283h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
04:49Price
Probability up 16.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 17.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 17.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 14.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 13.0pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 15.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 14.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 9.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 9.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 9.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 11.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -15.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -25.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -26.5pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -29.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -31.0pp
to 15¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -34.0pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -34.5pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBank of Mexico Decision in May

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 7, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the BaAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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