Incomparable-Vegetation
0xb73edb8afd2d742c088c9fb52c7798cfa6e065ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$77.38
Total PnL
$-212.54
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
16 shares @ 70.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.88
$2.88
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$11.11
$4.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.30
$0.30
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?
7 shares @ 86.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.92
$0.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.41
$1.41
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$100.89Jun 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$100.21Jun 18, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$19.73Jun 18, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$26.14Jun 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$26.46Jun 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$26.00Jun 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$25.84Jun 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$24.77Jun 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$25.23Jun 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$26.60Jun 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$25.31Jun 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.96Jun 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$25.14Jun 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$25.79Jun 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$65.39Jun 18, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$26.29Jun 18, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.48Jun 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$22.31Jun 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$26.00Jun 18, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.