Tricky-Purity
0xb75729b6e0079454ed52182cd32c6d4109b35b17
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 15?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 20?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
70 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
60 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Trump declassifies Diddy list?
50 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$15.41Jul 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$15.40Jul 12, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?$69.47Jun 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?$69.40Jun 8, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$69.37Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$69.30May 30, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$69.34May 30, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$69.21May 27, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$69.07May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$69.00May 22, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$69.07May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$69.00May 14, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$69.07May 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$69.00May 12, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$68.97May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$68.90May 9, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$68.87May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$68.80May 5, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$68.89May 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$68.83Apr 27, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $55.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.