Exhausted-String
0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$229.55
Realised
$488.28
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 75.7¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.8K
$-23.00
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?
2296 shares @ 74.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.1K
$409.53
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
2121 shares @ 61.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$656.41
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
2844 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$1.9K
$227.81
- NO
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
6386 shares @ 21.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.4K
$26.75
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?
847 shares @ 84.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$816.98
$102.44
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
5577 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$585.63
$139.44
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
505 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$504.75
$0.25
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
497 shares @ 46.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$494.96
$266.67
- YES
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?
1238 shares @ 17.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$464.17
$242.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.8KJul 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$87.73Jul 29, 11:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.32Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.33Jul 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.89Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.80Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.71Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?$125.92Jul 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$35.00Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$37.72Jul 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.6KJul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$96.79Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$2.43Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$52.01Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$129.01Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$230.00Jul 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$225.00Jul 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$32.32Jul 28, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill DC Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?$18.30Jul 28, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 23?$211.75Jul 28, 19:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $722.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.