Flaky-Ink
0xb79592be2f0f17a413aa3fe3e226da7801b55974
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$2.62
Total PnL
$-330.11
Realised
$-4.07
Win rate
0%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.62
$-1.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
6 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?$4.07Aug 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$3.83Aug 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$2.56Aug 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$2.07Aug 4, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.99Jul 27, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.19Jul 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.43Jul 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$4.06Jul 27, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$4.58Jul 27, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$4.10Jul 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.52Jul 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.05Jul 27, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$3.70Jul 27, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.90Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.42Jul 27, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
46 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.