Wonderful-Slider
0xb79c328b576b3c0951a50106ae0488aa3246f6c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$135.31
Total PnL
$-299.02
Realised
$39.54
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
220 shares @ 21.4¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$48.51
$1.46
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
30 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.35
$5.25
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 26.5¢·now 22.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.06
$-1.54
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
100 shares @ 12.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
60 shares @ 26.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.40
$-10.40
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.75
$2.75
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.75
$-6.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
600 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.70
$-2.80
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
80 shares @ 23.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.32
$-16.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$4.50Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?$2.00Jul 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?$2.40Jul 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?$4.80Jul 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?$7.50Jul 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$5.00Jul 28, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$10.80Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$1.00Jul 27, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.50Jul 27, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.60Jul 27, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$22.00Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.02Jul 27, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$23.10Jul 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$9.50Jul 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$7.39Jul 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.41Jul 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$6.80Jul 24, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$10.00Jul 24, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$4.99Jul 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$4.00Jul 15, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.