Any-Piece
0xb79ec5df296d32bfb1c22d26270b2e06103eda6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-304.18
Realised
$-1.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Tria FDV above $800M one day after launch?
458 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$17.14Mar 19, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$7.44Mar 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$8.44Mar 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$10.41Mar 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?$4.00Mar 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$6.00Mar 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?$4.00Mar 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$26.40Mar 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$17.86Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$17.87Mar 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$50.60Feb 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$34.00Feb 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$34.00Feb 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$42.10Feb 11, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMOver $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$40.72Feb 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$30.00Feb 6, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$30.00Feb 5, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.