OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Probability

62¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$2.0K

Liquidity

$21.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+32.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:00

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
2
Thin liquidity
Only $21.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6012.0h
LOW
16:57Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
16:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 11.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 11.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 13.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 11.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 12.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 21.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 25.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 25.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 31.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 33.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 33.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 30.5pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 32.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 35.0pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 32.5pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 36.5pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 37.5pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 39.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 39.5pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 37.5pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 40.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 37.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 36.0pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 36.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventGensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Gensyn's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Gensyn (https://x.com/gensynai) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
x.com
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket