Sane-Coincidence
0xb7be45f1023d2112009843ab71d7edf205629d61
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$64.74
Total PnL
$-217.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$-12.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.49
$1.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
10277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-102.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?
486 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?
94 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.05May 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$15.44May 2, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.61Apr 30, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$13.51Apr 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.04Apr 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.19Apr 30, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$21.02Apr 29, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$20.36Apr 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$20.78Apr 29, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$16.67Apr 29, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$34.48Apr 29, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$20.00Apr 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$10.35Apr 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$30.28Apr 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$10.36Apr 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$10.29Apr 29, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$26.73Apr 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$20.97Apr 29, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$28.17Apr 29, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$33.79Apr 28, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $34.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.