Fluffy-Ephemera
0xb7c2a0d4eb421f815324e25d07a0522a5d199ab4
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$227.46
Realised
$43.39
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
813 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$793.72
$0.92
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
1107 shares @ 24.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$492.63
$226.49
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$480.49
$8.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
238 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$222.90
$3.42
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.27
$1.25
- KINGS
Grizzlies vs. Kings
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$6.4138m ago
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$64.0047m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$292.802h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$309.123h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.576h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.206h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.176h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.726h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.726h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.676h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$6.316h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.046h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.036h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.076h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.156h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.156h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$34.366h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$17.186h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$165.096h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.677h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $336.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 25d ago
- Last active
- 38m ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
