Identical-Fifth
0xb7e8fc5f00c4d34e9f13fe3a8132155bd3bf61bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$74.07
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
35 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.84
$-0.02
- NO
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$0.01
- NO
Will Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.75
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$0.01
- NO
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$0.00
- NO
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.63
$0.01
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$0.01
- NO
Will Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$0.00
- NO
Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$1.44
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.07Jun 19, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.07Jun 19, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.07Jun 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$5.09Jun 19, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.