Dismal-Patty
0xb7e90681f15a36e24591baf24645f84726b6bdac
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-481.17
Win rate
50%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
860 shares @ 67.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$563.27
$-17.43
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
593 shares @ 66.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$370.94
$-26.40
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
200 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
154 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.99
$0.77
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
120 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.80
$0.60
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
250 shares @ 35.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$88.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$87.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
194 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$83.54
$0.04
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.75
$0.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 45.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.25
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?$0.538m ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?$85.0011m ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?$17.0011m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$1.0916m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$0.7216m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?$13.7017m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$44.0019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$51.6024m ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$28.5024m ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$5.0024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$4.7224m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$19.2024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$117.2132m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$3.7733m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$3.7733m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$3.7733m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$27.5039m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$630.7551m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$11.1755m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.2056m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $79.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
