Fruitful-Neighborhood
0xb7f0b0cae59f8e9a5117dbb57179e9b6665e6920
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$112.54
Total PnL
$8.96
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.76
$3.76
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.23
$3.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.79
$1.79
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.37
$1.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.41
$0.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.11Jul 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$2.02Jul 29, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$1.03Jul 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$2.07Jul 29, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$3.20Jul 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$2.04Jul 29, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner$3.14Jul 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner$2.04Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.06Jul 29, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.56Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.03Jul 28, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.03Jul 28, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Afghanistan" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.94Jul 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$3.36Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$2.05Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2.07Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00Jul 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Afghanistan" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.03Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner$0.90Jul 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner$2.04Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.