Narrow-Charlatan
0xb7fa9cb0cfbbc0b640aa66e4618e0c1195803435
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$68.87
Total PnL
$-568.21
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
267 shares @ 7.5¢·now 13.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$36.40
$16.40
- YES
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
2200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$14.30
$-15.70
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?
25 shares @ 39.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.04
$-0.95
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open?
40 shares @ 24.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.89
$-9.11
- YES
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?$10.30Aug 10, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open?$10.38Aug 10, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?$10.36Aug 10, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$20.92Jul 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?$31.48Jul 25, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-18?$69.77Jul 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-18?$60.42Jul 18, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Open Championship?$10.48Jul 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?$10.45Jul 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?$10.44Jul 15, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 15, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$113.21Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.72Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$61.41Jul 15, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jul 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$20.33Jul 14, 19:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.