Hopeful-Hardboard
0xb8188867bd6c6c40a9aa1dea8094185beeb9838c
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.83
Total PnL
$-13.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
7 shares @ 57.9¢·now 41.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.83
$-1.17
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.80
$-2.20
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.25
$-4.75
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$1.0215h ago
- TRADESELLChirayu Rana fired?$4.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$2.2416h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.941d ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$3.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$3.052d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$4.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.005d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".