Well-To-Do-Skin
0xb82644d086107a580695bcd431b4daafd1f0e7cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$128.39
Total PnL
$-25.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?
103 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$103.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$21.01
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 9?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?
411 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$21.00May 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?$1.05May 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 25, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?$103.01May 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$128.13May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$128.01May 24, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$128.13May 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$128.01May 19, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$127.13May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$127.01May 9, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$127.13May 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$127.01May 6, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$127.25May 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$127.02May 3, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$127.13May 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$127.01Apr 29, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$127.30Apr 29, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$127.00Apr 22, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21?$127.12Apr 22, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $86.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".