Alarmed-Pray
0xb826e1997a23ff14f8144f92877685f131c62606
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-670.95
Realised
$55.83
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
568 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.90
- YES
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
365 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.16
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
253 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.83
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
170 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
149 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "UK" or "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-83.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
95 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-77.64
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)
50 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-23.80
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Working People" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
37 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-16.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.10Jan 15, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$288.00Jan 15, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$161.94Jan 15, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$0.99Jan 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$156.50Jan 15, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$70.49Jan 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$94.18Jan 8, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$69.04Jan 8, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$115.00Jan 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$7.49Jan 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$13.15Jan 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$54.34Jan 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$24.70Jan 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$24.70Jan 7, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$111.11Jan 7, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by March 31?$211.70Jan 7, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions$29.97Jan 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Home Office" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$12.50Jan 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$32.63Jan 6, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$27.37Jan 5, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $78.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".