Elated-Fool
0xb82acb81cf2d539b1178d2877a0ca22c18c9ea29
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-8.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.56
$-0.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5AM ET
1077 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
2 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.10Mar 7, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.09Mar 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.06Mar 6, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.10Mar 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.29Mar 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.61Mar 5, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.61Mar 5, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 5, 3PM ET$1.31Mar 5, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 5, 3PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.31Mar 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.