Grateful-Chance
0xb82eb169bff1ae5ae68aa067eb47ddaa5a685278
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$557.21
Win rate
68%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
143918 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-486.30
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
9033 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-241.59
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
4167 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-241.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
4033 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-22.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
2618 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.37
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
2270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?
2250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $380?
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11?
1690 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-46.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?
1463 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$13.63Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$6.55Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$7.11Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$9.15Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$9.09Jun 12, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$18.88Jun 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$15.62Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$15.31Jun 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$29.61Jun 12, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$29.44Jun 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$72.76Jun 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$56.58Jun 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$21.51Jun 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$23.91Jun 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?$8.09Jun 12, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?$21.32Jun 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?$5.33Jun 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of June 8 2026?$0.34Jun 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11?$19.88Jun 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?$8.13Jun 11, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.