Narrow-Cation
0xb83465ea10c45108c2fae896cecf238396ee7e1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$72.08
Total PnL
$-597.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4732 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$35.49
$-64.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
467 shares @ 6.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.15
$-17.85
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7097 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.64
$-89.35
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
108 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.03
$-9.97
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1114 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.79
$-16.21
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$31.97Jun 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 12, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$41.92May 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$10.48May 18, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 12, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$0.00May 8, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$0.00May 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$10.49May 1, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$41.92May 1, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.00Apr 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 18, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 10, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $86.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.