Self-Reliant-Mister
0xb83ab04b9272981eb3e706a5cc2026b634082a7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$181.99
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-221.87
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
550 shares @ 34.4¢·now 33.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$181.99
$-7.47
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
11429 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
10762 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-385.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
9938 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-934.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
4010 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
3543 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-949.87
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
3393 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
2079 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
2007 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-295.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.36Jun 2, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?$12.09May 31, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?$11.05May 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?$1.03May 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?$2.05May 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?$3.09May 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.27May 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?$46.17May 24, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$103.19May 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$35.00May 21, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$168.54May 21, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$501.79May 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$18.20May 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$40.14May 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$14.82May 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$103.04May 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$126.04May 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$23.00May 21, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $63.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.