Circular-Distribution
0xb8400d99e1e4aad6c83792567b7a5d499e7a6054
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-14.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
287 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.14
$-9.86
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- SOUTH AMERICA REJECTS
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
146 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.73Apr 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26.00Apr 14, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGame 1: Ends in Daytime?$0.02Apr 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Ends in Daytime?$1.00Apr 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner$1.50Apr 14, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.00Apr 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.63Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.67Apr 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.23Apr 12, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.15Apr 12, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.00Apr 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.00Apr 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.00Apr 12, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".