Sinful-Doughnut
0xb856e9d524ff2ec69396234e6d09176fc404bd81
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$119.22
Total PnL
$-71.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?
78 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$78.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 30?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$13.62
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
1235 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?
990 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$78.00May 31, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?$13.50May 31, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$91.27May 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$91.02May 30, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.00May 30, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$105.87May 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$105.48May 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 30?$13.60May 29, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8.87May 29, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$110.11May 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$110.01May 27, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$109.13May 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$109.01May 26, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.56May 26, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$7.40May 26, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$108.11May 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$108.01May 25, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$5.44May 25, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$113.11May 25, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$113.00May 24, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $85.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.