Unusual-Repayment
0xb85b3f7be912392127dfbadc69161ad9950d77db
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$255.41
Total PnL
$-63.59
Realised
$6.79
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
313 shares @ 26.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$222.23
$140.85
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
74 shares @ 74.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.46
$-33.30
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
82 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.66
$-10.66
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?
1 shares @ 24.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.78
$0.54
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.28
$0.00
- YES
Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?
348 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-38.28
- YES
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
94 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
84 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.44
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
73 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.97
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?
51 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$1.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$3.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$10.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill A House of Dynamite be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$95.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$216.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$534.00May 20, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?$5.58Apr 21, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$64.24Feb 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.96Feb 8, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$86.71Feb 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$37.44Feb 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$40.05Feb 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$140.30Feb 8, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$319.00Jan 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$143.52Jan 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$240.34Jan 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$141.96Jan 11, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $101.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.