Bleak-Arrival
0xb85f08750572d603b888410d08fb438a059f3705
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-146.22
Realised
$4.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
951 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
452 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$4.00Jun 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.21Jun 9, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$5.00Jun 9, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.00Jun 9, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$1.90Jun 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$1.07Jun 2, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.33Jun 2, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?$3.09Jun 1, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$30.62May 30, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$1.00May 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$40.00May 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$0.99May 25, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$4.78May 25, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$10.00May 4, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.06Apr 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.00Apr 17, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.